Fantasy Football Tips: Game Week 24

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Fantasy Football Tips

Fantasy Football Tips: Game Week 24

Back to the drawing board…

Having been forced to drop Diego Costa for his latest antics and with Alexis Sanchez still being classed as injured, you can’t look too far past Sergio Aguero this weekend.

The 26 year old ace is having his usual season.  Simply unplayable at times, banging in goal after goal only to be stifled by injury.  Having completed 24 minutes at Everton, a further 90 at home to Arsenal plus 83 away to title challengers Chelsea, he can’t be too far away from his best now.

aguero-stats

*Key
TS - Top Scorer Position, GS - Goals Scored, 1GS - 1St Goals Scored, PS - Pens Scored, GIF - Goals in Fixture, AG Avgerage Goals, A1G - Average 1st Goals.

The Argentinian is sure to test Hull’s defensive resolve to the maximum.  The tigers have shipped 7 goals in their last 3 games without reply and have failed to pick up any points in the process.

The writing is on the wall for Steve Bruce’s men and any result against Manchester City here would be nothing short of a miracle.

As far as fantasy football tips go, we know this is pretty obvious but there really is no better player to have in your team for game week 24 than Sergio Aguero.  He has to be this week’s captain choice too – it would be rude not to capitalise on the double points on offer.

Best of the rest:

Who best to lead the line with Aguero?

  • Harry Kane – Really cheap, will be well up for the derby clash with Arsenal and has 8 goals in as many games with 3 assists.

 Others to consider:

  • Theo Walcott – We advised to get Theo in last weekend and he didn’t disappoint.
  • Wayne Rooney – has 4 goals in his last two games against West Ham.
  • Robin Van Persie – has 4 goals in last 7 against West Ham.

 

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Premier League Derby Double

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If Carlsberg did Saturdays, then this Saturday February 7th was made by them. An early afternoon Premier League derby on BT Sports between Tottenham and Arsenal, shortly followed by another derby in the evening between Everton and Liverpool live on Sky Sports.

Premier League Derby

Premier League Derby – Tottenham v Arsenal

5th versus 6th in the early derby with just 2 points separating them. Arsenal have looked back to their formidable selves recently winning their last 3 games to nil, scoring 2 penalties in the process courtesy of Santi Carzola.

The London Derby has become a clean affair with only 1 red card in the last 6 meetings between the two, thanks to forgotten man Adebayor. So expect football to do the talking again in this fixture.

Since Spurs stuttered against Palace, they have notched up 2 victories so neither team will look to lose this one. So saying that and with the last 4 derbies being under 2.5 goals, we can see this game working out as a very low scoring draw.

  • Draw – 5/2
  • Under 2.5 Goals – 11/10
  • on behalf of @bet365.

Premier League Derby – Everton v Liverpool

Onto the evening game now and 4 pints of Carlsberg later. Its Brendan Rodgers’ 100th Premier League game in charge of Liverpool and for his Captain, who just reached his 700th appearance, may have to sit this one out. Has Gerrard already played in his last Merseyside Derby?

These sides have been at the opposite end of the scale from each other in recent weeks. with Liverpool unbeaten since before Christmas and Everton winning only their first game since before Christmas on Saturday at Selhurst Park.

With the current form and the statistics of Everton not winning a derby since 2010, we can see this going only one way. A Liverpool victory.

Liverpool haven’t conceded a goal from open play since the turn of the year and in their last 3 away games, they have kept 3 clean sheets.

  • Liverpool Win – 5/4
  • Both Teams NOT to Score – 11/10
  • on behalf of @bet365.

So sit back and relax on the couch and enjoy your football feast of a derby day double.

……If only Carlsberg could help with the Saturday night television too. Cheers!

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Football predictions and their profitability

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football predictions

When it comes to football predictions and betting, It’s all about that bet, no trebles…

Accumulators, Lucky 15s or anything else.  Long term profits are far easier to achieve when focusing on single bets and using solid football predictions.

Sure the lure of placing a twelve team accumulator and landing thousands in return are hard to ignore.  Realistically though, these types of bets land on very rare occasions and are best left to the dreamers.

To make consistent long term profits and enjoy success, single bets are far superior. In the image above, we have released our last two months worth of profit and loss for single bets.  These tips were taken from the BetWiz football predictions app and as you can see, we have achieved a little over 100 percent return on investment with an 81 percent strike rate.

To save anyone any trouble we will release the actual excel sheet so you too can start your journey.  It’s very easy to use, simply input your starting balance and your stake percentage and away you go, everything else will be calculated for you.

As a beginner delving into the world of betting strategies and football predictions we recommend you keep your stake percentage fairly low.  As an example we have opted for a 10 percent stake in this instance and that works out at a very healthy return rate.  You could increase this to say 15 percent or whatever you feel is best however, this is not a race.  We’re not interested in short term gains.

We’re after long term profits and using this strategy, over time you will see massive returns.

Strategy Inspiration

The basis of our chosen strategy is a somewhat simplified version of the Kelly Criterion.  If you’ve never heard of the Kelly Criterion then you can find more information on it here.  But basically the Kelly strategy is maximally aggressive, backing high probability predictions heavily.  Which wouldn’t always be a bad thing but in the world of football we’ve found it to be too aggressive, hence we opt for a simpler 10% bet stake.

Next Steps

  • If there’s enough demand for the excel we will release it and let everyone know.
  • Any questions or comments give us a shout and we’ll do all we can to help you out.
  • Don’t forget to download the BetWiz app on iOS or Android for the best football predictions
  • Check back soon, we’ll update our results weekly so you can see how the large returns keep on coming.

Hopefully this post has been of some use and you can get a feel for what is truly possible from football betting.

Current Return on Investment

98%

Profit to date (2 months)

 £4,910

Latest PREDICTIONS and Result
  • Match Result: FC Milsami Orhei vs FC Academia Chisinau (Moldova)
  • Result – FC Milsami Orhei win 1-0
  • Match Result: FC Sheriff vs Zimbru (Moldova)
  • Result – FC Sheriff  win 3-0

*Last Updated: 04/03/2015

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Another Winner

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btts

The Netherlands Juplier league is currently in hot form for Both Teams To Score and the BetWiz engine didn’t disappoint last night.

De Graafschap and  FC Oss duly obliged adding to the 83% success rate that we’re seeing this season.

Want to simply make your betting life easier?  Download the app on iOS or Android and get more great bets, livescores and offers.

We do the number crunching so you don’t have to.

Daniel Sturridge Returns

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sturridge

Daniel Sturridge sealed Liverpool’s 2-0 win over West Ham with an excellently worked goal on Saturday.

The 25 year old returned to action in the 68th minute to be greeted by a standing ovation from the Anfield faithful and it wasn’t long before they had more to cheer about.

The absentee, who has been missing since August with a thigh injury, showed his class by controlling a wonderful ball from Coutinho and finishing near post against Adrian.

Liverpool 2 West Ham 0

Raheem Sterling 51′

Daniel Sturridge 80′

 

Alexis Sanchez Out?

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alexis-sanchez

Arsene Wenger has hinted that star man Alexis Sanchez could be out for the Gunner’s Sunday afternoon clash with Aston Villa.

The 26 year old Chilean ace is reported to be suffering from a tight hamstring and is a doubt for Sunday.

What does this mean for all you Fantasy Football Followers?  You may be best using this weeks transfer to draft in Theo Walcott , the 25 year old showed he is approaching full fitness with an early FA Cup goal last weekend and is one to consider.

Arsenal v Aston Villa

Sunday 01/02/15 @ 13:30  on Sky Sports 1